TR
Picks
Premier League · Matchday 13Wednesday 2 December · 20:00 · The Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry City16th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Ipswich Town14th place
COV 45%X 27%IPS 28%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Coventry City 1.8 points per game, Ipswich Town 1.0.
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.559%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Coventry City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.22X27%3.69228%3.60
Double chance
1X72%1.38X255%1.821273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.559%1.71Under 2.541%2.42BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.56

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Coventry City · Columns: Ipswich Town1-1 probability 11.6%

Head to head

Coventry City – Ipswich Town29 December 20250-2
Ipswich Town – Coventry City6 December 20253-0
Coventry City – Ipswich Town30 April 20241-2
Ipswich Town – Coventry City2 December 20232-1