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Premier League · Matchday 21Saturday 16 January · 15:00 · Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Ipswich Town13th place
BOU 72%X 18%IPS 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bournemouth lead by 194 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bournemouth 0.5, Ipswich Town -0.4.
  • Last 5 games: Bournemouth 1.8 points per game, Ipswich Town 1.0.
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 32% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.6 – 0.9
Over 2.567%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
172%1.39X18%5.52210%10.05
Double chance
1X90%1.11X228%3.561282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.567%1.49Under 2.533%3.05BTTS yes56%1.80BTTS no44%2.25

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bournemouth · Columns: Ipswich Town2-0 probability 10.2%

Form

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Head to head

Bournemouth – Ipswich Town2 April 20251-2
Ipswich Town – Bournemouth8 December 20241-2