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Premier League · Matchday 21Saturday 16 January · 15:00 · Anfield
Liverpool5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Crystal Palace18th place
LIV 64%X 22%CRY 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Liverpool lead by 157 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Liverpool 0.5, Crystal Palace -0.9.
  • Last 5 games: Liverpool 1.8 points per game, Crystal Palace 0.8.
  • If Liverpool score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Crystal Palace score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.56X22%4.56214%7.14
Double chance
1X86%1.16X236%2.781278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.557%1.74Under 2.543%2.35BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.11

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Liverpool · Columns: Crystal Palace2-0 probability 11.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Liverpool – Crystal Palace25 April 20263-1
Crystal Palace – Liverpool27 September 20252-1
Liverpool – Crystal Palace25 May 20251-1
Crystal Palace – Liverpool5 October 20240-1
Liverpool – Crystal Palace14 April 20240-1
Crystal Palace – Liverpool9 December 20231-2