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Premier League · Matchday 21Saturday 16 January · 15:00 · The Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry City16th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Everton14th place
COV 29%X 28%EVE 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Everton lead by 67 rating points.
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Everton score first, they win 72% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.4
Over 2.545%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Everton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.44X28%3.52243%2.35
Double chance
1X57%1.74X271%1.411272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.545%2.24Under 2.555%1.80BTTS yes50%1.98BTTS no50%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Coventry City · Columns: Everton1-1 probability 13.7%

Form

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