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Premier League · Matchday 21Saturday 16 January · 15:00 · Brentford Community Stadium
Brentford6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Brighton3rd place
BRE 32%X 27%BHA 41%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brighton lead by 61 rating points.
  • If Brentford score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Brighton score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.5
Over 2.554%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Brighton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.14X27%3.67241%2.45
Double chance
1X59%1.69X268%1.471273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.554%1.84Under 2.546%2.19BTTS yes58%1.71BTTS no42%2.40

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Brentford · Columns: Brighton1-1 probability 12.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Brentford – Brighton21 February 20260-2
Brighton – Brentford22 November 20252-1
Brentford – Brighton19 April 20254-2
Brighton – Brentford27 December 20240-0
Brentford – Brighton3 April 20240-0
Brighton – Brentford6 December 20232-1