TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Premier League · Matchday 21Saturday 16 January · 15:00 · The MKM Stadium
Hull City11th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Arsenal1st place
HUL 12%X 21%ARS 67%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Arsenal lead by 249 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Arsenal 2.4 points per game, Hull City 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Arsenal 0.9, Hull City -0.3.
  • If Hull City score first, they win 41% of the time
  • If Arsenal score first, they win 88% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals0.6 – 1.8
Over 2.544%
Both teams score38%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
112%8.44X21%4.82267%1.48
Double chance
1X33%3.07X288%1.131279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.544%2.27Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes38%2.60BTTS no62%1.62

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hull City · Columns: Arsenal0-1 probability 15.4%

Form

Compare →