TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Premier League · Matchday 21Saturday 16 January · 15:00 · Etihad Stadium
Manchester City2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Nottingham Forest19th place
MCI 63%X 23%NFO 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Manchester City lead by 214 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Manchester City 1.8 points per game, Nottingham Forest 0.2.
  • Manchester City take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Manchester City score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Nottingham Forest score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.8
Over 2.554%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
163%1.58X23%4.43214%7.10
Double chance
1X86%1.16X237%2.731277%1.29
Goals
Over 2.554%1.86Under 2.546%2.16BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Manchester City · Columns: Nottingham Forest2-0 probability 11.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Manchester City – Nottingham Forest4 March 20262-2
Nottingham Forest – Manchester City27 December 20251-2
Nottingham Forest – Manchester City8 March 20251-0
Manchester City – Nottingham Forest4 December 20243-0
Nottingham Forest – Manchester City28 April 20240-2
Manchester City – Nottingham Forest23 September 20232-0