TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Premier League · Matchday 21Saturday 16 January · 15:00 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Tottenham9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Leeds United12th place
TOT 42%X 29%LEE 30%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Tottenham 2.0 points per game, Leeds United 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Tottenham 0.2, Leeds United -0.3.
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Leeds United score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Tottenham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.41X29%3.47230%3.38
Double chance
1X70%1.42X258%1.711271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.545%2.23Under 2.555%1.81BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.03

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Tottenham · Columns: Leeds United1-1 probability 13.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Tottenham – Leeds United11 May 20261-1
Leeds United – Tottenham4 October 20251-2
Leeds United – Tottenham28 May 20231-4
Tottenham – Leeds United12 November 20224-3
Leeds United – Tottenham26 February 20220-4
Tottenham – Leeds United21 November 20212-1