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Premier League · Matchday 28Wednesday 3 March · 20:00 · Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Tottenham8th place
BOU 53%X 26%TOT 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bournemouth lead by 90 rating points.
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.0
Over 2.553%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Bournemouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.90X26%3.80221%4.72
Double chance
1X79%1.27X247%2.111274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.553%1.90Under 2.547%2.11BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bournemouth · Columns: Tottenham1-1 probability 12.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Bournemouth – Tottenham7 January 20263-2
Tottenham – Bournemouth30 August 20250-1
Tottenham – Bournemouth9 March 20252-2
Bournemouth – Tottenham5 December 20241-0
Tottenham – Bournemouth31 December 20233-1
Bournemouth – Tottenham26 August 20230-2