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Premier League · Matchday 28Wednesday 3 March · 20:00 · Elland Road
Leeds United12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Hull City11th place
LEE 53%X 27%HUL 20%

Prediction

  • If Leeds United score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Hull City score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.8
Over 2.542%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.87X27%3.74220%5.05
Double chance
1X80%1.25X247%2.151273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.542%2.41Under 2.559%1.71BTTS yes45%2.25BTTS no55%1.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Leeds United · Columns: Hull City1-0 probability 13.8%

Form

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Head to head

Hull City – Leeds United4 January 20253-3
Leeds United – Hull City31 August 20242-0
Leeds United – Hull City1 April 20243-1
Hull City – Leeds United20 September 20230-0