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Premier League · Matchday 28Wednesday 3 March · 20:00 · Brentford Community Stadium
Brentford6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Ipswich Town13th place
BRE 65%X 21%IPS 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brentford lead by 181 rating points.
  • If Brentford score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.4 – 1.1
Over 2.567%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.53X21%4.76214%7.41
Double chance
1X86%1.16X235%2.901279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.567%1.50Under 2.533%2.99BTTS yes60%1.68BTTS no40%2.47

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Brentford · Columns: Ipswich Town2-1 probability 9.6%

Form

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Head to head

Ipswich Town – Brentford10 May 20250-1
Brentford – Ipswich Town26 October 20244-3