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Ligue 1 · Matchday 6Saturday 10 October · 19:45 · Stade Francis-Le Blé
Brest14th place
Full time5-1Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Angers15th place
BRE 52%X 27%ANG 21%

What does the market say?

BrestDrawAngersRinvalo52%27%21%
Market47%26%27%

✓ Agree · both back Brest

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Brest 0.0, Angers -0.6.
  • If Brest score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Angers score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.546%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Brest win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.92X27%3.76221%4.67
Double chance
1X79%1.27X248%2.081273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.546%2.19Under 2.554%1.84BTTS yes49%2.06BTTS no51%1.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Brest · Columns: Angers5-1 probability 0.6% · final score

Form

Compare →
BrestLLWDL
AngersWLLDL

Head to head

Brest – Angers10 October 20265-1
Brest – Angers17 May 20261-1
Angers – Brest28 September 20250-2
Brest – Angers9 March 20252-0
Angers – Brest5 January 20252-0
Brest – Angers29 January 20234-0