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Ligue 1 · Matchday 6Saturday 10 October · 19:45 · Stade du Moustoir
Lorient11th place
Full time1-0Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✕ Missed
Paris FC4th place
LOR 32%X 30%PFC 38%

What does the market say?

LorientDrawParis FCRinvalo32%30%38%
Market30%28%42%

✓ Agree · both back Paris FC

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Paris FC 2.2 points per game, Lorient 1.0.
  • Paris FC lead by 63 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Paris FC 0.9, Lorient 0.1.
  • If Lorient score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Paris FC score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Paris FC win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.13X30%3.38238%2.60
Double chance
1X62%1.63X268%1.471270%1.42
Goals
Over 2.545%2.23Under 2.555%1.81BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lorient · Columns: Paris FC1-0 probability 9.0% · final score

Form

Compare →
LorientLWWDL

Head to head

Lorient – Paris FC10 October 20261-0
Lorient – Paris FC5 April 20261-1
Paris FC – Lorient3 October 20252-0