TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 6Saturday 10 October · 16:15 · Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille2nd place
Full time1-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Exact score
Le Havre18th place
LIL 59%X 25%HAC 16%

What does the market say?

LilleDrawLe HavreRinvalo59%25%16%
Market66%20%14%

✓ Agree · both back Lille

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Lille lead by 156 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Lille 2.0 points per game, Le Havre 0.4.
  • If Lille score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Le Havre score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.7
Over 2.544%
Both teams score43%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
159%1.69X25%4.01216%6.25
Double chance
1X84%1.19X241%2.441275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.544%2.30Under 2.556%1.77BTTS yes43%2.30BTTS no57%1.77

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lille · Columns: Le Havre1-0 probability 14.1% · final score

Form

Compare →
LilleLWDDW

Head to head

Lille – Le Havre10 October 20261-0
Lille – Le Havre3 May 20261-1
Le Havre – Lille30 November 20250-1
Lille – Le Havre8 February 20251-2
Le Havre – Lille28 September 20240-3
Lille – Le Havre17 February 20243-0