TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Premier League · Matchday 35Saturday 8 May · 15:00 · American Express Stadium
Brighton3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Sunderland20th place
BHA 64%X 22%SUN 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brighton lead by 193 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Brighton 2.4 points per game, Sunderland 0.2.
  • Brighton take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Brighton score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Sunderland score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.8
Over 2.553%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.57X22%4.49214%7.20
Double chance
1X86%1.16X236%2.771278%1.29
Goals
Over 2.553%1.89Under 2.547%2.13BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.96

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Brighton · Columns: Sunderland2-0 probability 11.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Sunderland – Brighton10 October 20260-2
Sunderland – Brighton14 March 20260-1
Brighton – Sunderland20 December 20250-0