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Premier League · Matchday 35Saturday 8 May · 15:00 · City Ground
Nottingham Forest19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Crystal Palace18th place
NFO 54%X 26%CRY 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Nottingham Forest 0.6, Crystal Palace -0.9.
  • If Nottingham Forest score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Crystal Palace score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.9
Over 2.548%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Nottingham Forest win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
154%1.85X26%3.89220%4.94
Double chance
1X80%1.25X246%2.181274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.548%2.09Under 2.552%1.92BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Nottingham Forest · Columns: Crystal Palace1-1 probability 12.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Crystal Palace – Nottingham Forest11 October 20263-1
Nottingham Forest – Crystal Palace1 February 20261-1
Crystal Palace – Nottingham Forest24 August 20251-1
Crystal Palace – Nottingham Forest5 May 20251-1
Nottingham Forest – Crystal Palace21 October 20241-0
Nottingham Forest – Crystal Palace30 March 20241-1