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Premier League · Matchday 35Saturday 8 May · 15:00 · Craven Cottage
Fulham15th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Ipswich Town13th place
FUL 60%X 23%IPS 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Fulham lead by 113 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Fulham 0.3, Ipswich Town -0.4.
  • If Fulham score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.9
Over 2.556%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Fulham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
160%1.66X23%4.27216%6.14
Double chance
1X84%1.19X240%2.521277%1.31
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.27BTTS yes53%1.87BTTS no47%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fulham · Columns: Ipswich Town1-1 probability 10.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Ipswich Town – Fulham10 October 20262-1
Fulham – Ipswich Town5 January 20252-2
Ipswich Town – Fulham31 August 20241-1