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Premier League · Matchday 35Saturday 8 May · 15:00 · St James Park
Newcastle United12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Coventry City16th place
NEW 56%X 25%COV 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Newcastle United lead by 78 rating points.
  • If Newcastle United score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.558%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Newcastle United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.78X25%4.05219%5.27
Double chance
1X81%1.23X244%2.291275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes57%1.75BTTS no43%2.33

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Newcastle United · Columns: Coventry City1-1 probability 10.9%

Form

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Head to head

Coventry City – Newcastle United12 October 20264-1