TR
Picks
Mon 19:45ATA1-0PAR59%Mon 19:45LOR1-0BRE44%Mon 20:00DEP1-0OSA43%Mon 20:00NEW1-0EVE42%Mon 20:15BEN2-0ALV77%Mon 20:15GIL1-0VSC44%Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%
Championship · Matchday 15Saturday 7 November · 12:30 · Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol City14th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Norwich City15th place
BRC 39%X 28%NOR 33%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bristol City 0.6, Norwich City -0.1.
  • If Bristol City score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Norwich City score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.551%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Bristol City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.55X28%3.57233%3.05
Double chance
1X67%1.49X261%1.651272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.551%1.96Under 2.549%2.04BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.27

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bristol City · Columns: Norwich City1-1 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Bristol City – Norwich City18 April 20262-4
Norwich City – Bristol City18 October 20250-1
Bristol City – Norwich City14 March 20252-1
Norwich City – Bristol City9 November 20240-2
Norwich City – Bristol City20 April 20241-1
Bristol City – Norwich City3 December 20231-2