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Championship · Matchday 15Saturday 7 November · 15:00 · Ewood Park
Blackburn Rovers13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
West Ham8th place
BLB 26%X 25%WHU 49%

What's at stake

Blackburn RoversRelegation2%4%5%
West HamAutomatic promotion11%7%5%

What does the market say?

Blackburn RoversDrawWest HamRinvalo26%25%49%
Market19%23%58%

✓ Agree · both back West Ham

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Ham 0.9, Blackburn Rovers -0.9.
  • The market also backs the away side (58%).
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 54% of the time
  • If West Ham score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.9
Over 2.562%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a West Ham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
126%3.79X25%3.98249%2.06
Double chance
1X52%1.94X274%1.361275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.562%1.62Market 59%Under 2.538%2.62Market 41%BTTS yes63%1.59Market 58%BTTS no37%2.69Market 42%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Blackburn Rovers · Columns: West Ham1-1 probability 10.9%

Form

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