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Championship · Matchday 15Saturday 7 November · 15:00 · Deepdale
Preston North End24th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Southampton2nd place
PNE 16%X 22%SOU 63%

What's at stake

Preston North EndRelegation79%87%90%
SouthamptonAutomatic promotion77%71%67%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Southampton lead by 305 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Southampton 2.6 points per game, Preston North End 0.2.
  • Southampton take 1.9 points per game away.
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 42% of the time
  • If Southampton score first, they win 83% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.0 – 2.1
Over 2.558%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
116%6.39X22%4.62263%1.60
Double chance
1X37%2.68X284%1.191278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes54%1.84BTTS no46%2.19

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Preston North End · Columns: Southampton0-2 probability 10.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Preston North End – Southampton2 May 20261-3
Southampton – Preston North End1 November 20250-2
Southampton – Preston North End16 April 20243-0
Preston North End – Southampton25 October 20232-2