TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 15Saturday 7 November · 15:00 · The Valley
CHA 30%X 29%SHU 42%

What's at stake

Charlton AthleticRelegation25%34%39%

What does the market say?

Charlton AthleticDrawSheffield UnitedRinvalo30%29%42%
Market30%27%43%

✓ Agree · both back Sheffield United

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sheffield United lead by 114 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Sheffield United 2.0 points per game, Charlton Athletic 0.4.
  • The market also backs the away side (43%).
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Sheffield United score first, they win 72% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.3
Over 2.543%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Sheffield United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.38X29%3.50242%2.39
Double chance
1X58%1.72X270%1.421271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.543%2.34Market 50%Under 2.557%1.75Market 50%BTTS yes49%2.04Market 54%BTTS no51%1.96Market 46%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Charlton Athletic · Columns: Sheffield United1-1 probability 13.9%

Head to head

Charlton Athletic – Sheffield United17 January 20261-0
Sheffield United – Charlton Athletic20 September 20250-1