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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 15Saturday 7 November · 15:00 · MATRADE Loftus Road
QPR9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Lincoln City16th place
QPR 58%X 24%LIN 18%

What's at stake

Lincoln CityRelegation9%15%16%

What does the market say?

QPRDrawLincoln CityRinvalo58%24%18%
Market52%26%23%

✓ Agree · both back QPR

Prediction

Key factors
  • QPR lead by 89 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: QPR 0.5, Lincoln City -0.1.
  • The market also backs the home side (52%).
  • If QPR score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Lincoln City score first, they win 46% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.0
Over 2.555%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a QPR win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
158%1.73X24%4.13218%5.60
Double chance
1X82%1.22X242%2.381276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.555%1.81Market 57%Under 2.545%2.23Market 43%BTTS yes54%1.85Market 58%BTTS no46%2.18Market 42%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: QPR · Columns: Lincoln City1-1 probability 11.2%

Form

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