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Championship · Matchday 24Tuesday 29 December · 19:45 · Turf Moor
Burnley22nd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Lincoln City16th place
BUR 54%X 25%LIN 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Burnley lead by 117 rating points.
  • If Burnley score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Lincoln City score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.0
Over 2.553%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Burnley win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
154%1.84X25%3.93220%4.92
Double chance
1X80%1.25X246%2.181275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.553%1.88Under 2.547%2.14BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Burnley · Columns: Lincoln City1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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Head to head

Lincoln City – Burnley24 October 20264-1