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Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 24Tuesday 29 December · 19:45 · Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea City3rd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
QPR9th place
SWA 44%X 28%QPR 28%

Prediction

  • If Swansea City score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If QPR score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.549%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Swansea City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.26X28%3.58228%3.59
Double chance
1X72%1.39X256%1.791272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.549%2.05Under 2.551%1.95BTTS yes53%1.87BTTS no47%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Swansea City · Columns: QPR1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →
QPRDWLWL

Head to head

QPR – Swansea City24 October 20265-0
QPR – Swansea City21 April 20261-2
Swansea City – QPR22 October 20250-1
QPR – Swansea City21 April 20251-2
Swansea City – QPR26 December 20243-0
Swansea City – QPR1 April 20240-1