TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 24Tuesday 29 December · 19:45 · Carrow Road
Norwich City15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Charlton Athletic20th place
NOR 60%X 24%CHA 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Norwich City lead by 128 rating points.
  • If Norwich City score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.8
Over 2.550%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
160%1.67X24%4.14216%6.23
Double chance
1X84%1.19X240%2.491276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.550%2.00Under 2.550%2.00BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Norwich City · Columns: Charlton Athletic1-0 probability 11.8%

Head to head

Charlton Athletic – Norwich City24 October 20261-3
Charlton Athletic – Norwich City21 March 20260-1
Norwich City – Charlton Athletic26 December 20251-0