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Championship · Matchday 24Tuesday 29 December · 18:00 · SToK Cae Ras
Wrexham18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Blackburn Rovers13th place
WRE 48%X 28%BLB 24%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Wrexham -0.3, Blackburn Rovers -0.9.
  • If Wrexham score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.546%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Wrexham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.09X28%3.57224%4.15
Double chance
1X76%1.32X252%1.921272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.546%2.15Under 2.554%1.87BTTS yes51%1.98BTTS no49%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wrexham · Columns: Blackburn Rovers1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Blackburn Rovers – Wrexham24 October 20262-0
Blackburn Rovers – Wrexham1 January 20260-2
Wrexham – Blackburn Rovers29 November 20251-1