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Championship · Matchday 43Saturday 17 April · 15:00 · Turf Moor
Burnley22nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Norwich City15th place
BUR 40%X 28%NOR 33%

Prediction

  • If Burnley score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Norwich City score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.3
Over 2.554%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Burnley win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.52X28%3.60233%3.07
Double chance
1X67%1.48X260%1.661272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.554%1.84Under 2.546%2.18BTTS yes58%1.71BTTS no42%2.40

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Burnley · Columns: Norwich City1-1 probability 12.5%

Form

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Head to head

Norwich City – Burnley29 August 20264-1
Burnley – Norwich City11 April 20252-1
Norwich City – Burnley15 December 20241-2
Norwich City – Burnley4 February 20230-3
Burnley – Norwich City25 October 20221-0
Norwich City – Burnley10 April 20222-0