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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 43Saturday 17 April · 15:00 · MATRADE Loftus Road
QPR9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Blackburn Rovers13th place
QPR 55%X 26%BLB 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: QPR 0.5, Blackburn Rovers -0.9.
  • If QPR score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.9
Over 2.548%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a QPR win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.83X26%3.89220%5.07
Double chance
1X80%1.25X245%2.201274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.548%2.09Under 2.552%1.92BTTS yes49%2.02BTTS no51%1.98

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: QPR · Columns: Blackburn Rovers1-1 probability 12.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Blackburn Rovers – QPR29 August 20261-2
QPR – Blackburn Rovers14 February 20261-3
Blackburn Rovers – QPR26 November 20250-1
QPR – Blackburn Rovers4 February 20252-1
Blackburn Rovers – QPR28 September 20242-0
Blackburn Rovers – QPR3 February 20241-2