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Championship · Matchday 43Saturday 17 April · 15:00 · LNER Stadium
Lincoln City16th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Bolton Wanderers19th place
LIN 49%X 26%BOL 25%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Lincoln City -0.1, Bolton Wanderers -0.7.
  • If Lincoln City score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Bolton Wanderers score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.558%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Lincoln City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.03X26%3.89225%4.00
Double chance
1X75%1.33X251%1.971274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.36BTTS yes59%1.68BTTS no41%2.46

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lincoln City · Columns: Bolton Wanderers1-1 probability 11.6%

Form

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Head to head

Bolton Wanderers – Lincoln City29 August 20260-1