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Championship · Matchday 43Saturday 17 April · 15:00 · bet365 Stadium
Stoke City7th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Wolverhampton4th place
STK 33%X 29%WOL 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Wolverhampton 0.7, Stoke City -0.3.
  • If Stoke City score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.546%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Wolverhampton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.04X29%3.46238%2.62
Double chance
1X62%1.62X267%1.491271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.546%2.15Under 2.554%1.87BTTS yes52%1.91BTTS no48%2.10

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stoke City · Columns: Wolverhampton1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

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Head to head

Wolverhampton – Stoke City29 August 20264-1