TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 43Saturday 17 April · 15:00 · Bramall Lane
Sheffield United10th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Cardiff City17th place
SHU 51%X 26%CAR 23%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sheffield United lead by 79 rating points.
  • If Sheffield United score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Cardiff City score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.1
Over 2.553%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Sheffield United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.96X26%3.87223%4.34
Double chance
1X77%1.30X249%2.051274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.553%1.87Under 2.547%2.14BTTS yes55%1.81BTTS no45%2.24

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sheffield United · Columns: Cardiff City1-1 probability 12.1%

Head to head

Cardiff City – Sheffield United29 August 20262-2
Sheffield United – Cardiff City18 April 20252-0
Cardiff City – Sheffield United21 December 20240-2
Sheffield United – Cardiff City15 April 20234-1
Cardiff City – Sheffield United12 November 20220-1
Sheffield United – Cardiff City23 April 20221-0