TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 25Friday 1 January · 17:30 · Turf Moor
Burnley22nd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Sheffield United10th place
BUR 44%X 28%SHU 28%

Prediction

  • If Burnley score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Sheffield United score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Burnley win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.29X28%3.60228%3.51
Double chance
1X72%1.40X256%1.781272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.549%2.04Under 2.551%1.96BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Burnley · Columns: Sheffield United1-1 probability 13.1%

Head to head

Burnley – Sheffield United21 April 20252-1
Sheffield United – Burnley26 December 20240-2
Sheffield United – Burnley20 April 20241-4
Burnley – Sheffield United2 December 20235-0
Burnley – Sheffield United10 April 20232-0
Sheffield United – Burnley5 November 20225-2