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Serie A · Matchday 6Sunday 11 October · 19:45 · Unipol Domus
Cagliari12th place
Full time1-1Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✕ Missed
Juventus7th place
CAG 18%X 25%JUV 57%

What does the market say?

CagliariDrawJuventusRinvalo18%25%57%
Market15%24%61%

✓ Agree · both back Juventus

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Juventus lead by 110 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 1.0, Cagliari -0.3.
  • If Cagliari score first, they win 49% of the time
  • If Juventus score first, they win 82% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals0.8 – 1.7
Over 2.545%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
118%5.45X25%4.07257%1.75
Double chance
1X43%2.33X282%1.221275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.545%2.23Under 2.555%1.81BTTS yes46%2.18BTTS no54%1.85

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cagliari · Columns: Juventus1-1 probability 12.2% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Cagliari – Juventus11 October 20261-1
Cagliari – Juventus17 January 20261-0
Juventus – Cagliari29 November 20252-1
Cagliari – Juventus23 February 20250-1
Juventus – Cagliari6 October 20241-1
Cagliari – Juventus19 April 20242-2