TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 6Saturday 10 October · 17:00 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter2nd place
Full time3-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✓ Result correct
Parma18th place
INT 79%X 15%PAR 6%

What does the market say?

InterDrawParmaRinvalo79%15%6%
Market83%11%5%

✓ Agree · both back Inter

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Inter lead by 278 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.1, Parma -0.8.
  • Last 5 games: Inter 2.6 points per game, Parma 0.8.
  • If Inter score first, they win 92% of the time
  • If Parma score first, they win 26% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.5 – 0.6
Over 2.560%
Both teams score41%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
179%1.26X15%6.8326%16.34
Double chance
1X94%1.07X221%4.811285%1.17
Goals
Over 2.560%1.67Under 2.540%2.50BTTS yes41%2.44BTTS no59%1.69

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Inter · Columns: Parma3-0 probability 12.0% · final score

Form

Compare →
InterWWWWL
ParmaWLLLD

Head to head

Inter – Parma10 October 20263-0
Inter – Parma3 May 20262-0
Parma – Inter7 January 20260-2
Parma – Inter5 April 20252-2
Inter – Parma6 December 20243-1