GS
SHA
BLB
CHA
DER
POR
PNE
QPR
WAT
BIR
WBA
ATM
BAR
BOD
FEY
LAS
MUN
VIL
REN
AEK
FB
CAR
WRE
BRC
Como4th placeCOM 39%X 28%ROM 33%
What does the market say?
ComoDrawRomaRinvalo39%28%33%Market37%26%37%
✓ Agree · both back Como
Prediction
Predicted: 1-0Key factors
- Como take 2.0 points per game at home.
- If Como score first, they win 69% of the time
- If Roma score first, they win 64% of the time
- Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.547%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1
Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Como win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.57X28%3.55233%3.03
Double chance
1X67%1.49X261%1.641272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.547%2.14Under 2.553%1.88BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.11
Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.
Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Como · Columns: Roma0-0 probability 8.7% · final score
Form
Compare →Head to head
Como – Roma11 October 20260-0
Como – Roma15 March 20262-1
Roma – Como15 December 20251-0
Roma – Como2 March 20252-1
Como – Roma15 December 20242-0