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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 6Saturday 10 October · 14:00 · Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Genoa11th place
Full time2-1Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Fiorentina17th place
GEN 36%X 29%FIO 35%

What does the market say?

GenoaDrawFiorentinaRinvalo36%29%35%
Market30%29%41%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo Genoa 36%, market Fiorentina 41%

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Genoa score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Fiorentina score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.2
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Genoa win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.78X29%3.40235%2.88
Double chance
1X65%1.53X264%1.561271%1.42
Goals
Over 2.544%2.27Under 2.556%1.78BTTS yes50%1.98BTTS no50%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Genoa · Columns: Fiorentina2-1 probability 8.0% · final score

Form

Compare →
GenoaWLWWW

Head to head

Genoa – Fiorentina10 October 20262-1
Fiorentina – Genoa10 May 20260-0
Genoa – Fiorentina9 November 20252-2
Fiorentina – Genoa2 February 20252-1
Genoa – Fiorentina31 October 20240-1
Fiorentina – Genoa15 April 20241-1