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Serie A · Matchday 6Saturday 10 October · 19:45 · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli8th place
Full time3-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✓ Result correct
Frosinone6th place
NAP 66%X 21%FRO 12%

What does the market say?

NapoliDrawFrosinoneRinvalo66%21%12%
Market65%20%15%

✓ Agree · both back Napoli

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Napoli lead by 126 rating points.
  • If Napoli score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.7
Over 2.548%
Both teams score43%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
166%1.50X21%4.72212%8.11
Double chance
1X88%1.14X234%2.981279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.548%2.07Under 2.552%1.93BTTS yes43%2.33BTTS no57%1.75

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Napoli · Columns: Frosinone3-0 probability 8.7% · final score

Form

Compare →
NapoliWLDWL

Head to head

Napoli – Frosinone10 October 20263-0
Napoli – Frosinone14 April 20242-2
Frosinone – Napoli19 August 20231-3