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Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 22Sunday 31 January · 17:30 · Unipol Domus
Cagliari12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Parma18th place
CAG 46%X 29%PAR 25%

Prediction

  • If Cagliari score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Parma score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 12%
Expected goals1.3 – 0.9
Over 2.537%
Both teams score43%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Cagliari win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.20X29%3.40225%3.99
Double chance
1X75%1.33X254%1.841271%1.42
Goals
Over 2.537%2.72Under 2.563%1.58BTTS yes43%2.31BTTS no57%1.76

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cagliari · Columns: Parma1-1 probability 13.9%

Form

Compare →
ParmaWLLLD

Head to head

Parma – Cagliari22 August 20260-1
Parma – Cagliari27 February 20261-1
Cagliari – Parma13 September 20252-0
Cagliari – Parma9 February 20252-1
Parma – Cagliari30 September 20242-3