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Serie A · Matchday 22Sunday 31 January · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico
Lazio1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Venezia20th place
LAZ 72%X 19%VEN 9%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lazio lead by 303 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Lazio 3.0 points per game, Venezia 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Lazio 0.5, Venezia -0.6.
  • If Lazio score first, they win 90% of the time
  • If Venezia score first, they win 35% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.6
Over 2.549%
Both teams score38%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
172%1.38X19%5.3729%11.14
Double chance
1X91%1.10X228%3.621281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.549%2.05Under 2.551%1.95BTTS yes38%2.62BTTS no62%1.62

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lazio · Columns: Venezia2-0 probability 15.4%

Form

Compare →
LazioWWWWW
VeneziaLWLLL

Head to head

Venezia – Lazio19 September 20260-2
Venezia – Lazio22 February 20250-0
Lazio – Venezia18 August 20243-1
Lazio – Venezia14 March 20221-0
Venezia – Lazio22 December 20211-3