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Serie A · Matchday 22Sunday 31 January · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan5th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Juventus7th place
MIL 34%X 29%JUV 37%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Juventus take 1.8 points per game away.
  • If Milan score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Juventus score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.544%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Juventus win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.97X29%3.44237%2.68
Double chance
1X63%1.59X266%1.511271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.27Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes51%1.98BTTS no49%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Milan · Columns: Juventus1-1 probability 13.9%

Form

Compare →
MilanDWWLW

Head to head

Juventus – Milan6 September 20261-1
Milan – Juventus26 April 20260-0
Juventus – Milan5 October 20250-0
Juventus – Milan18 January 20252-0
Milan – Juventus23 November 20240-0
Juventus – Milan27 April 20240-0