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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 22Sunday 31 January · 17:30 · Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Sassuolo15th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Como4th place
SAS 18%X 23%COM 59%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Como lead by 219 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Como 2.6 points per game, Sassuolo 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Como 0.6, Sassuolo -0.3.
  • If Sassuolo score first, they win 45% of the time
  • If Como score first, they win 81% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.9
Over 2.556%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-2 is the likeliest score within a Como win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
118%5.56X23%4.42259%1.68
Double chance
1X41%2.46X282%1.221277%1.29
Goals
Over 2.556%1.78Under 2.544%2.28BTTS yes54%1.84BTTS no46%2.19

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sassuolo · Columns: Como1-1 probability 10.9%

Form

Compare →
ComoDWWWW

Head to head

Como – Sassuolo24 October 20262-0
Sassuolo – Como17 April 20262-1
Como – Sassuolo28 November 20252-0