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Serie A · Matchday 22Sunday 31 January · 17:30 · Bluenergy Stadium
Udinese19th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Bologna9th place
UDI 26%X 27%BOL 47%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Bologna 2.4 points per game, Udinese 0.2.
  • Bologna lead by 118 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bologna 0.1, Udinese -1.1.
  • If Udinese score first, they win 57% of the time
  • If Bologna score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.5
Over 2.549%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Bologna win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
126%3.83X27%3.71247%2.13
Double chance
1X53%1.88X274%1.351273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.549%2.05Under 2.551%1.95BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.12

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Udinese · Columns: Bologna1-1 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →
UdineseLLLDL
BolognaWLWWW

Head to head

Bologna – Udinese23 February 20261-0
Udinese – Bologna22 November 20250-3
Udinese – Bologna28 April 20250-0
Bologna – Udinese18 August 20241-1
Bologna – Udinese28 April 20241-1
Udinese – Bologna30 December 20233-0