TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 26Sunday 28 February · 17:30 · Unipol Domus
Cagliari12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Udinese19th place
CAG 43%X 28%UDI 29%

Prediction

  • If Cagliari score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Udinese score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.546%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Cagliari win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.30X28%3.58229%3.50
Double chance
1X71%1.40X257%1.771272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.546%2.17Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes51%1.95BTTS no49%2.06

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cagliari · Columns: Udinese1-1 probability 13.5%
UdineseLLLDL

Head to head

Udinese – Cagliari19 September 20260-1
Cagliari – Udinese9 May 20260-2
Udinese – Cagliari5 October 20251-1
Cagliari – Udinese3 May 20251-2
Udinese – Cagliari25 October 20242-0
Udinese – Cagliari18 February 20241-1