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Serie A · Matchday 26Sunday 28 February · 17:30 · Stadio Benito Stirpe
Frosinone6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Napoli8th place
FRO 23%X 24%NAP 53%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Napoli lead by 76 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Napoli 0.5, Frosinone -0.4.
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 50% of the time
  • If Napoli score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.2 – 2.0
Over 2.562%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Napoli win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
123%4.37X24%4.15253%1.89
Double chance
1X47%2.13X277%1.301276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.562%1.61Under 2.538%2.63BTTS yes62%1.62BTTS no38%2.61

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Frosinone · Columns: Napoli1-1 probability 10.6%

Form

Compare →
NapoliWLDWL

Head to head

Napoli – Frosinone10 October 20263-0
Napoli – Frosinone14 April 20242-2
Frosinone – Napoli19 August 20231-3