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Serie A · Matchday 26Sunday 28 February · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Fiorentina17th place
TOR 41%X 28%FIO 31%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Torino 1.8 points per game, Fiorentina 0.4.
  • If Torino score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Fiorentina score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Torino win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.47X28%3.53231%3.21
Double chance
1X69%1.45X259%1.681272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.549%2.04Under 2.551%1.96BTTS yes54%1.84BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Torino · Columns: Fiorentina1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

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Head to head

Fiorentina – Torino5 September 20261-2
Fiorentina – Torino7 February 20262-2
Torino – Fiorentina31 August 20250-0
Fiorentina – Torino19 January 20251-1
Torino – Fiorentina3 November 20240-1
Torino – Fiorentina2 March 20240-0