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Serie A · Matchday 26Sunday 28 February · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico
Roma3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Venezia20th place
ROM 79%X 15%VEN 6%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Roma lead by 364 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Roma 2.2 points per game, Venezia 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Roma 0.9, Venezia -0.6.
  • If Roma score first, they win 93% of the time
  • If Venezia score first, they win 27% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.5 – 0.5
Over 2.558%
Both teams score39%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
179%1.26X15%6.8726%16.31
Double chance
1X94%1.07X221%4.831285%1.17
Goals
Over 2.558%1.74Under 2.542%2.36BTTS yes39%2.59BTTS no61%1.63

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Roma · Columns: Venezia2-0 probability 15.1%

Form

Compare →
RomaDWDWW
VeneziaLWLLL

Head to head

Venezia – Roma9 February 20250-1
Roma – Venezia29 September 20242-1
Roma – Venezia14 May 20221-1
Venezia – Roma7 November 20213-2