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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 26Sunday 28 February · 17:30 · U-Power Stadium
Monza16th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Juventus7th place
MON 15%X 21%JUV 64%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Juventus lead by 235 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 0.8, Monza 0.1.
  • Juventus take 1.8 points per game away.
  • If Monza score first, they win 41% of the time
  • If Juventus score first, they win 83% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.0 – 2.1
Over 2.559%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
115%6.55X21%4.74264%1.57
Double chance
1X36%2.75X285%1.181279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.559%1.68Under 2.541%2.46BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.21

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Monza · Columns: Juventus0-2 probability 10.4%

Form

Compare →
MonzaLWLLL

Head to head

Juventus – Monza27 April 20252-0
Monza – Juventus22 December 20241-2
Juventus – Monza25 May 20242-0
Monza – Juventus1 December 20231-2
Juventus – Monza29 January 20230-2
Monza – Juventus18 September 20221-0