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Serie A · Matchday 26Sunday 28 February · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Atalanta13th place
INT 72%X 18%ATA 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter lead by 173 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.6, Atalanta -0.5.
  • Last 5 games: Inter 2.4 points per game, Atalanta 1.0.
  • If Inter score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Atalanta score first, they win 33% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.5 – 0.9
Over 2.565%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
172%1.40X18%5.49210%9.78
Double chance
1X90%1.11X228%3.521282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.565%1.55Under 2.535%2.83BTTS yes54%1.87BTTS no46%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Inter · Columns: Atalanta2-0 probability 10.8%

Form

Compare →
InterWWWWL

Head to head

Inter – Atalanta14 March 20261-1
Atalanta – Inter28 December 20250-1
Atalanta – Inter16 March 20250-2
Inter – Atalanta30 August 20244-0
Inter – Atalanta28 February 20244-0
Atalanta – Inter4 November 20231-2