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Eredivisie · Matchday 34Sunday 23 May · 13:30 · Kooi Stadion
Cambuur9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Ajax2nd place
CAM 16%X 21%AJA 63%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Ajax lead by 239 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Ajax 0.9, Cambuur -0.1.
  • Ajax take 2.3 points per game away.
  • If Cambuur score first, they win 40% of the time
  • If Ajax score first, they win 81% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.2 – 2.4
Over 2.571%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
116%6.11X21%4.75263%1.60
Double chance
1X37%2.67X284%1.201279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.571%1.41Under 2.529%3.41BTTS yes65%1.54BTTS no35%2.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cambuur · Columns: Ajax1-2 probability 9.3%

Form

Compare →
CambuurDWDWW
AjaxDDWWW

Head to head

Cambuur – Ajax5 February 20230-5
Ajax – Cambuur3 September 20224-0
Cambuur – Ajax11 March 20222-3
Ajax – Cambuur18 September 20219-0